Bloviating Zeppelin: Prediction: Brown Takes Massachusetts Senate

Bloviating Zeppelin

(in-ep-toc'-ra-cy) - a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Prediction: Brown Takes Massachusetts Senate

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	Brown (R)	Coakley (D)	Spread
Politico/InAdv	1/17 - 1/17	804 LV	52	43	Brown +9
PJM/CrossTarget (R)	1/17 - 1/17	574 LV	52	42	Brown +10
PPP (D)	1/16 - 1/17	1231 LV	51	46	Brown +5
ARG	1/15 - 1/17	600 LV	52	45	Brown +7
Daily Kos/R2000	1/15 - 1/17	500 LV	48	48	Tie
InsideMedford/MRG	1/15 - 1/15	565 LV	51	41	Brown +10
PJM/CrossTarget (R)	1/14 - 1/14	946 LV	54	39	Brown +15
ARG	1/12 - 1/14	600 LV	48	45	Brown +3
Blue Mass Group/R2000 (D)	1/12 - 1/13	500 LV	41	49	Coakley +8
Suffolk/7News	1/11 - 1/13	500 LV	50	46	Brown +4
Rasmussen Reports	1/11 - 1/11	1000 LV	47	49	Coakley +2
PPP (D)	1/7 - 1/9	744 LV	48	47	Brown +1
Rasmussen Reports	1/4 - 1/4	500 LV	41	50	Coakley +9
Boston Globe	1/2 - 1/6	554 LV	36	53	Coakley +17
Suffolk	11/4 - 11/8	600 RV	27	58	Coakley +31
Western NE College	10/18 - 10/22	342 LV	32	58	Coakley +26
Suffolk	9/12 - 9/15	500 RV	24	54	Coakley +30

My prediction: Brown takes it (written Monday night @ 6:30 PST).

Followup: the Demorats do their best to ensure he is seated in sufficient time to NOT cast a vote regarding ObamaKare. Pushing ObamaKare is a priority; seating an enemy at the table -- what Mr Obama called non-partisanship -- is not.

Oh my, is this going to stir the pot. Particularly after Our Hero lobbied personally in the state.

13 Comments:

David Wyatt said...: Oh how I hope you are right about prediction number 1 & how I fear you are right about prediction number 2!; Mon Jan 18, 06:43:00 PM PST
Law and Order Teacher said...: BZ,
I does look good. The second thing you say causes two different reactions in me. One, I don't want that crap to happen, but then do I? If they did this the wrath of Americans may sweep the whole bunch of them out. I don't feel very good about most of the Repubs, and my fear is they'll throw away this opportunity and go on a spending spree if they do get the majority. Not much trust here.; Mon Jan 18, 06:52:00 PM PST
Bloviating Zeppelin said...: David: you know, every once in a while you wonder just when the Worm Turns? This might be a quite pivotal point in the year 2010.

LOT: and you bring up any number of most EXCELLENT points, the likes of which I plan to address in an upcoming post! Great minds do in fact think similarly.

BZ; Mon Jan 18, 07:21:00 PM PST
Maggie Thornton said...: Pelosi said no matter what happens in Massachusetts, we will have health care.

I received an email asking for people to come to Massachusetts, all expenses paid, to mind the polls. I don't know who is doing the paying, but I assume the Republican party. They are expecting huge fraud, and believe the "watch" must go on for days.

I hope your prediction is correct, and it looks like it will be. If it is, the issue of not swearing him in is HUGE, and passing health care with reconcilliation is HUGE. They will be in schizee up to their chins. Of course, they are used to it. Their sensitivity to schizee has been dead for a few years now.; Mon Jan 18, 08:28:00 PM PST
Tim said...: I have heard them say there is no need for a second Senate vote if the House will approve it as is with no further modifications. In it's present form I don't like the bill, but am hoping it passes and can be tweaked later. Without the Public Option there will be no cost control. You basically are maintaining the status quo with the execption of mandating that everybody must buy insurance. It's a gift to the big insurance companies, IMHO. I think we both don't like it for the exact opposite reasons.; Mon Jan 18, 08:56:00 PM PST
Bloviating Zeppelin said...: Tim: it's an abortion on toast and it needs to be stopped and destroyed. There is LITTLE if ANY true thought given to the bill. Little if any REFLECTION. Little if any consideration for "unintended consequences."

BZ; Mon Jan 18, 09:11:00 PM PST
Teresa said...: I hope you are right about your prediction also. This Obamascare bill needs to be defeated. It will take away our liberty and freedom as we know it today and yes, there is a death panel, its just hidden within the bill and not named specifically that. This is about saving costs instead of making sure everyone gets health care. And , the first people to be targeted under Obamascare will be the elderly and handicapped. I can't stand these bunch of freaking, immoral, liars.; Mon Jan 18, 09:25:00 PM PST
Bloviating Zeppelin said...: And you know what, Teresa? I ain't that terribly FAR from ELDERLY my - own - self.

I still have a job. I still walk upright. I still contribute to SS and taxes. But, after 6 decades on the planet, they're gonna put ME out to pasture?

Just think what they'll do to YOU when YOU get a "difficult" disease at ANY age??

BZ; Mon Jan 18, 10:15:00 PM PST
Carlisleboy said...: A very Rare Political Dutch HarborDirt is now posted BZ, Inspired by you!
http://dutchharbordirt.blogspot.com/2010/01/scott-brown-next-us-senator-from-ma.html; Mon Jan 18, 10:20:00 PM PST
CJ said...: Here's hoping this is the start of people in this country regaining their senses and an understanding of just how precious a gift our Founding Fathers gave us.

cjh; Tue Jan 19, 12:51:00 AM PST
Always On Watch said...: BZ,
I'm rooting for your prediction to be correct. BIG TIME!

Maybe the health care bill will still go through.

But if Brown gets elected, we have a very positive barometer that the November 2010 elections will vote out a lot of those incumbent Dems.; Tue Jan 19, 05:23:00 AM PST
Serr8d said...: I'm thinking Miss Marcie in a squeaker, but only because Boston isn't snowed under, and Dems will have the ACORN turnout. The Dems will suffer because their win wasn't the double-digits they expected just a few short months ago.

(Please Note that 3 of 4 of the NFL teams I saw to win over the weekend lost, so we have that going for us!); Tue Jan 19, 05:44:00 AM PST
Right Truth said...: So the Daily Kos still has it a tie? pffffff!

I'm not counting the victory until the votes are counted, and we make sure the Democrats don't bring in the thugs from ACORN or Nation of Islam.

Debbie
Right truth
http://www.righttruth.typepad.com; Tue Jan 19, 07:12:00 AM PST

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Bloviating Zeppelin

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Prediction: Brown Takes Massachusetts Senate

Polling Data

13 Comments:

Bloviating Zeppelin

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