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Iran Update: Pushing the Global Envelope

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Bloviating Zeppelin: Iran Update: Pushing the Global Envelope

Bloviating Zeppelin

(in-ep-toc'-ra-cy) - a system of government where the least capable to lead are elected by the least capable of producing, and where the members of society least likely to sustain themselves or succeed, are rewarded with goods and services paid for by the confiscated wealth of a diminishing number of producers.

Monday, January 23, 2006

Iran Update: Pushing the Global Envelope

A few things happened on Sunday; one I saw, the other I read about -- neither event surprising.

While watching Fox News Sunday, I listened to Senator John McCain (R, Arizona) say that he believed Iran's nuclear weapons program "is the most serious foreign policy crisis since the end of the Cold War. A nuclear capability in Iran is unacceptable."

Senator McCain said he agreed with the Bush administration's decision to press for sanctions against Iran before the United Nation's Security Counsel, saying the move would force Moscow and Beijing to choose sides. "If China and Russia want to be on record as being supportive of Iran in their nuclear ambitions, then I think that obviously has consequences as well."

McCain threw his hat into the energy independence ring as well: "We've got to get quickly on a track to energy independence from foreign oil. And that means, among other things, going back to nuclear power."

Israel Weighs In On Iran:

Despite Sharon's absence, Israel's defense minister hinted Saturday (01-21) that the Jewish state is preparing for military action to stop Iran's nuclear program, but said international diplomacy must be the first course of action.

"Israel will not be able to accept an Iranian nuclear capability and it must have the capability to defend itself, with all that that implies, and this we are preparing," Shaul Mofaz said. His comments at an academic conference stopped short of overtly threatening a military strike but were likely to add to growing tensions with Iran.

Sanctions and Oil:

McCain advocated energy independence (as should all logical Americans!) as oil and financial experts are quoted as saying: "Oil prices could soar past $100 a barrel, if the UN Security Council authorizes trade sanctions against Iran, which the West accuses of trying to make nuclear bombs, and Iran curbs oil exports in retaliation. A sharp global economic slowdown could follow." Just this past week, the price per barrel almost reached $70 on the heels of global concern about Iran's nuclear weapons program. Oddly enough, this one time no one in the global community "buys" Iran's bit about needing nukes for power.

But Iran would also pay a hefty price if the petro-dollars that now represent 80 percent of export revenues are reduced, potentially stirring civil unrest in a nation with a 14 percent unemployment rate.

''They would shoot themselves in the foot," said Mustafa Alani, director of national security and terrorism studies at the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center. ''It's one thing to test the market psychology, it's another to take the actual step and stop oil exports."

Bracing for sanctions, Iran's central bank said on Friday that it is moving its foreign currency reserves out of European banks.

Iran, the second-largest oil producer in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, exports roughly 2.5 million barrels per day. It also controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane.

''Even if Iran pulled a small amount of its oil off the market, say it pulled a half million barrels a day, I could see oil prices literally jumping over the $100 per barrel mark," said James Bartis, a senior researcher at Rand Corp.

John Kerry: Amazing Silent On Iran? Here's Why:

Kerry went on another rant yesterday about President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism, and his so-called inept handling of North Korea's nuclear program. In retrospect, he didn't have much to say about Iran. As wrote:

Probably because, had Kerry's previous advice on Iran been taken, the mullahs in Tehran would be even closer to obtaining nuclear weapons than they are now.

During his first debate against President Bush on Sept. 30, 2004, the Massachusetts Democrat actually said it would be a good idea for the U.S. to give Iran the fuel they needed to make a nuclear bomb.

The question from moderator Jim Lehrer: "Do you believe that diplomacy and sanctions can resolve the nuclear problems with North Korea and Iran?" Kerry's answer:

"With respect to Iran, the British, French, and Germans were the ones who initiated an effort without the United States, regrettably, to begin to try to move to curb the nuclear possibilities in Iran. I believe we could have done better."

The top Democrat then urged:

"I think the United States should have offered the opportunity to provide the nuclear fuel. Test them. See whether or not they were actually looking for it for peaceful purposes. If they weren't willing to work a deal, then we could have put sanctions together."

Another reason we are so very lucky one specific man currently occupies the White House.


The bottom line: a showdown with Iran is coming; the global community appears, at this point, to be behind the US stance -- this week.


Blogger NEO, SOC said...

Bloviating Zeppelin; great post. Especially the presented closer on the FlipFlopMan, the FlipFlopMan, the FlipFlopMan (sing in your head like a nursery rhyme). I think it's critical that many of these threatening nations show their stripes now, while Islam is supressed as a global dominance. In each instance, it further confirms the fatalistic position America would have been in had Election '04 yielded the opposite results. Iran is one of the many unhealthy 'eggs' out there. Anyone who can think Kim Jong Illin' is a saint needs to do laps in a piranha infested pool.

Mon Jan 23, 05:19:00 AM PST  
Blogger bigwhitehat said...

It is way past time to finish Iran off.

Ski Iran 2007!

Mon Jan 23, 10:10:00 AM PST  
Blogger All Fed Up said...

The term "international diplomacy" caught my eye BZ. It just conjoured up the United Nations in my head. The idea of the U.N. is a utopia. The reality is a large group of people who get to write everything off and get diplomatic immunity for everything. The UN was the one who kept drawing the line in the sand for Iraq to let them inspect and countless times they were either turned away or taken on a "guided" tour of their facitlities...(oh, sorry, you can't look in there. But, let me show you this building over here instead, see, no weapons.)

The US seeing the inevitable outcome of Iraq shoving it down the UN's throat, stood up and took action.

The UN should be the most powerful entitiy in the world, as it is made up of world leaders. Instead they cry for humanity and concern only from the only country stepping in and taking out a leader who was killing thousands at a time for his own pleasure.

I guess it's just like in football, you penalize the guy who swings back, not the guy who swung first. But that is for another post.

In the words of one of the greatest philosophers of our time..."Can't we all just get along?"
No, wait, my mistake. That was qouted from the infamous crack addict, Rodney King.

Mon Jan 23, 10:23:00 AM PST  
Blogger All Fed Up said...

Anyone else hear about the oil reserve find in Canada? I just heard a brief snippet and it being the largest reserve ever found. Per the Democrats we should be invading Canada and going to war very soon if this is the case.

Mon Jan 23, 10:26:00 AM PST  
Blogger Bloviating Zeppelin said...

Neo,Soc: And as I asked in a previous comments section: what IS it with that guy's hair, anyway? And yeah, John, that's a great idea -- let's get nuclear material for Iran, shall we? You think?

BWH: it's coming.

All Fed Up: The UN deals in another dimension, when they deal at all. And yes, it was Iraq who worked against all its mandates. Further, yes, there are great fields in Canada of shale oil. And of course, ANWR. And great fields of shale oil in Wyoming, and the plains near the Rockies. We finally have the technology to do something about it. And, also, the fields off our own sovereign coasts.

Mon Jan 23, 11:17:00 AM PST  
Blogger NEO, SOC said...

BZ: what guy's hair?

Mon Jan 23, 01:57:00 PM PST  
Blogger Bloviating Zeppelin said...

Why, North Korean President Kim Il Sung. . .nice style for a nutjob. Kind of Don King but less fanciful -- and King already set the style years ago.

Mon Jan 23, 02:49:00 PM PST  
Blogger Revka said...

Nope blo, king isn't the style setter, it is Donald Trump. The dude has millions, yet won't at least get a better carpet.

Yes, i am with BWH.. Blow them away, and don't dicker around with going through the steps with the U.N./IAEA. WE found out who was in bed with Sadaam at the U.N. I will bet there are nations in bed with Iran as well.

Awesome post once again.. Your blog is a daily read for me.

Yes, we are going to confront this man.
Off the subject, but I want your opinion..Why do you think he is saying all this crazy stuff in the media if he has 'just begun' his uranium enrichment. I would think he would have kept his mouth shut about his intentions until he was real close to getting a nuke, or has already had one from another source.
I tend to think based on his actions, that he already has the plan in place and had other nations in bed with him on it.
What do you think?

Tue Jan 24, 09:45:00 AM PST  
Blogger Bloviating Zeppelin said...

Rebecca: Yes, he already has nations in bed with him. To wit, from a CIA report in 11/04:

"Iran continued to vigorously pursue indigenous programs to produce nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. Iran is also working to improve delivery systems as well as ACW. To this end, Iran continued to seek foreign materials, training, equipment, and know-how. During the reporting period, Iran still focused particularly on entities in Russia, China, North Korea, and Europe. Iran's nuclear program received significant assistance in the past from the proliferation network headed by Pakistani scientist A.Q. Khan."

He HAS a plan in place and HAS nations in line.

Tue Jan 24, 02:01:00 PM PST  

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